Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 5.028687 5.448234 5.903990 6.439029 7.054076 7.744040 8.583874
2025-06-22 4.232041 4.777817 5.411710 6.213834 7.219042 8.461989 10.157348
2025-06-29 3.764682 4.362192 5.086786 6.051247 7.336139 9.045340 11.600536
2025-07-06 3.441258 4.064417 4.844852 5.924864 7.435678 9.571735 13.034810
2025-07-13 3.224299 3.870427 4.702308 5.893618 7.635598 10.244254 14.829109
2025-07-20 3.099442 3.779161 4.678185 6.010388 8.049051 11.295293 17.545656
2025-07-27 3.005326 3.717397 4.683065 6.161193 8.526032 12.534399 21.053410
2025-08-03 2.881931 3.604476 4.603618 6.172883 8.776210 13.428244 24.233553
2025-08-10 2.741870 3.458034 4.463091 6.073274 8.821727 13.948138 26.795323
2025-08-17 2.594428 3.292113 4.281933 5.891281 8.698159 14.110245 28.534271
2025-08-24 2.483055 3.171364 4.159318 5.791498 8.706388 14.540254 31.252118
2025-08-31 2.428679 3.129340 4.151076 5.876625 9.062312 15.790864 37.318833
2025-09-07 2.376428 3.091019 4.151014 5.984845 9.498726 17.399729 46.456039
2025-09-14 2.251488 2.939484 3.967005 5.762017 9.254383 17.317087 48.887502
2025-09-21 2.153317 2.823581 3.832613 5.615586 9.147984 17.567953 53.265254
2025-09-28 2.070218 2.726519 3.722484 5.502922 9.096640 17.954980 58.968440
2025-10-05 2.010938 2.662904 3.662253 5.475071 9.222279 18.873555 69.428146
2025-10-12 1.982165 2.644430 3.673650 5.579053 9.652733 20.842637 92.499052
2025-10-19 1.960585 2.635765 3.700131 5.713152 10.175511 23.350008 132.902333
2025-10-26 1.917648 2.591546 3.664325 5.723538 10.406615 24.986483 176.812512
2025-11-02 1.859998 2.521764 3.581636 5.634998 10.381070 25.676753 213.765613
2025-11-09 1.792925 2.434781 3.465911 5.472987 10.150626 25.498782 232.809195
2025-11-16 1.741745 2.371656 3.388744 5.384024 10.099209 26.051108 282.537423